13 January 2009

Eur/Huf

I normally do not announce intraday spot trades. This was thus an exception. Also, I prefer to use options whenever valuations look good. These marketcircumstances fit the options instrument very well. Whenever spreads and valuations allow for it.

Anyway, re long Eur/Huf; intraday charts indicates spot wants to go higher. If we can close above 278.50, I think we should be able to go higher again over the next 1-2 days. If we close below 276, perhaps not so.

I see this as an opportunity to go long Eur/Huf post IMF;s comments regarding Hungary, where it omitted any critical ditto re Hungarys fiscal policy.

Unless general market sentiment shifts in a positive way nearterm, it would seem to me the long Eur/Huf overhang should become absorbed by the market before long and move to test the highs again.
Spot now; 278.35.










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